| 武汉市呼吸道和心脑血管疾病气象预报研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 陈正洪,杨宏青,张鸿雁,王祖承,陈波.武汉市呼吸道和心脑血管疾病气象预报研究[J].湖北中医学院学报,2001,3(2):15-17. |
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| 作者姓名： | 陈正洪 杨宏青 张鸿雁 王祖承 陈波 |
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| 作者单位： | 湖北省气象科学研究所，武汉430074 |
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| 基金项目： | 中国气象局重点科研项目，湖北省气象局软件工程项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 以武汉市四家大医院1994－1998年间，因呼吸道和心脑血管疾病入院的42005个病例为基础，分析疾病发病的季、月、旬分布特征；再分四季建立各病种日发病率的气象预报模型，分冬、夏半年建立了各病种周发病率的气象预报模型，并确定了发病率的一套等级划分指标；分析了冷锋天气过程演变对疾病发病的不同影响；最后在微机上开发了“医疗气象预报系统”。
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| 关 键 词： | 呼吸道疾病 心脑血管疾病 气象预报 模型 |
| 文章编号： | 1008-987X(2001)02-0015-03 |
| 修稿时间： | 2001年2月14日 |
Research on Meteorological Forecast about Sick Rate of Diseases in Respiratory Tract and Heart and Brain Blood Vessels in Wuhan |
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| Chen Zhenghong,Yang Hongqing,Zhang Hongyan,Wang Zucheng,Chen Bo.Research on Meteorological Forecast about Sick Rate of Diseases in Respiratory Tract and Heart and Brain Blood Vessels in Wuhan[J].Journal of Hubei College of Traditional Chinese Medicine,2001,3(2):15-17. |
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| Authors: | Chen Zhenghong Yang Hongqing Zhang Hongyan Wang Zucheng Chen Bo |
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| Abstract: | Based on 42005 cases of four big hospitals from 1994 - 1998 in Wuhan, quarterly, monthly and ten days' distributed properties of 8 kinds of diseases are analyzed firstly. Secondly, 4 meteorological forecast models of daily disease occurring of each disease according to four quarten and 2 models of weekly disease occurring according to summer-half-year and winter-half-year are established. Then, a set of index of grade dividing standard is set up. In addition, effect of weather process of cold front on disease occurring is analyzed. Finally, a Forecast System of Medical Meteorology is developed and extended not only in Hubei but also in some other provinces. |
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| Keywords: | Respiratory tract Heart and brain blood vessels Disease meteorological forecast Model |
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